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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Wisconsin Green Bay

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:160.0
Current RPI:160
Expected SOS:158
Current Record:17-15
Expected Record:17-15
Current Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-2
Current OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC RPI:260
Expected OOC SOS:243


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1553.12%160.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Wisconsin Green Bay.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-10Chicago St. (320.0)GWCH72-67W100%0.0
11-16Southern Utah (314.0)BSkyN66-54W100%0.0
11-17Nevada (171.0)MWCA71-69L0%0.0
11-18Cal St. Fullerton (270.0)BWN93-82L0%0.0
11-20Idaho (195.0)WACA72-62L0%0.0
11-24North Dakota St. (72.0)SumH74-59W100%0.0
12-1Virginia (76.0)ACCA67-51L0%0.0
12-6Tennessee Tech (242.0)OVCA74-68L0%0.0
12-12Wisconsin (32.0)B10A65-54L0%0.0
12-15Southern Illinois (192.0)MVCH70-72L0%0.0
12-19Marquette (13.0)BEH49-47W100%0.0
12-22South Dakota (240.0)SumH72-55W100%0.0
1-3Wright St. (129.0)HorzA64-53L0%0.0
1-5Detroit (63.0)HorzA84-76L0%0.0
1-9Loyola Chicago (223.0)HorzH58-45W100%0.0
1-12Illinois Chicago (169.0)HorzH53-47W100%0.0
1-17Youngstown St. (188.0)HorzH67-58W100%0.0
1-19Cleveland St. (199.0)HorzH77-50W100%0.0
1-23Valparaiso (58.0)HorzA73-61L0%0.0
1-25Wisconsin Milwaukee (307.0)HorzA54-74W100%0.0
1-31Illinois Chicago (169.0)HorzA60-57L0%0.0
2-2Loyola Chicago (223.0)HorzA65-73W100%0.0
2-7Wright St. (129.0)HorzH68-70L0%0.0
2-9Detroit (63.0)HorzH68-59W100%0.0
2-15Cleveland St. (199.0)HorzA59-66W100%0.0
2-17Youngstown St. (188.0)HorzA54-71W100%0.0
2-23Drake (143.0)MVCA71-54L0%0.0
2-26Wisconsin Milwaukee (307.0)HorzH78-61W100%0.0
3-2Valparaiso (58.0)HorzH56-75L0%0.0
3-5Wisconsin Milwaukee (307.0)HorzH62-46W100%0.0
3-8Illinois Chicago (169.0)HorzN64-63W100%0.0
3-9Valparaiso (58.0)HorzA70-69L0%0.0